Shorting Russia

When the Ukrainian/Crimean crisis first evolved, Russian equities sold off hard. We like to use ETFs to capture full sectors, markets, or countries. The ETF for Russia is RSX. Since the March panic sell off, RSX has rebounded to a trendline that has provided resistance for the past 7 years. This meeting with the upper trendline coincides with a Fibonacciretracement level of 61.8%. This, along with confirmation of several momentum indicators, make shorting RSX a low risk / high reward trade. Stop-loss = check. Targets = check. Our risk/reward profile is well defined. We like that. A break above the upper trendline would be bullish for Russia (RSX) and would change our stance. We’re not concerned with being right. We’re concerned about being on the right side of the trade.